Accurate-Hearsay-Unblinking
0xf40bbc50b2c3729d931deeb78dc671ddcb458427
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$299.16
Total PnL
$-300.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
1538 shares @ 13.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$169.23
$-30.77
- YES
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
14054 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$105.41
$-194.59
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
7006 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.52
$-75.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$21.30May 20, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$78.70May 20, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$300.00May 20, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade another country in 2026?$200.00May 20, 14:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $150.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 14:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 16:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.