Sticky-Drainage
0xf40fb502a90cdd0f96b1c432391ee0588b58a2f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$22.78
Total PnL
$-0.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
50 shares @ 24.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.50
$-0.50
- NO
Will Israel strike Iraq by December 31?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.00
$0.10
- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
4 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.32
$0.32
- NO
Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?
1 shares @ 83.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.19
$0.19
- NO
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- NO
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
1 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- NO
US national XRP reserve in 2025?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Anora be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?$0.00Dec 19, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill KPop Demon Hunters be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?$0.00Dec 19, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$0.00Dec 19, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$0.00Dec 19, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$0.00Dec 19, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?$0.00Dec 19, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$2.27Dec 7, 19:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$3.70Dec 7, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Iraq by December 31?$1.90Dec 3, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$1.00Dec 3, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?$1.00Dec 3, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.00Dec 3, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$4.90Dec 3, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$1.21Dec 3, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.21Dec 3, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill KPop Demon Hunters be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?$1.97Nov 28, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anora be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?$1.00Nov 28, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$2.00Nov 28, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah disarm in 2025?$1.00Nov 28, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?$1.00Nov 28, 00:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $2.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 25, 19:47 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 19, 05:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".