Impossible-Director
0xf4376cde09412b09ab7d3cf70c9a01efcc29f5b7
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$2.52
Total PnL
$-6.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.52
$0.00
- NO
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 24?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.23
- YES
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 5AM ET
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.07
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?$1.53Jul 13, 21:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?$1.52Jul 10, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?$1.53Jul 10, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?$1.52Jul 10, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on July 6?$1.24Jul 6, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on July 6?$1.24Jul 5, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMIsraeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?$1.14Jul 3, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$1.28Jul 1, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.34Jun 30, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$1.28Jun 28, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?$1.14Jun 28, 09:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill RadarScope be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?$1.65Jun 19, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.34Jun 14, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RadarScope be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?$1.64Jun 14, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Svitle by May 31?$2.52May 31, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China on May 11, 2026?$1.02May 31, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMAnother Iranian diplomat expelled by April 30?$1.03May 31, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.04May 31, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by April 30?$1.08May 31, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$1.11May 31, 03:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $6.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 13, 09:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 21:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.