Threadbare-Nightclub
0xf4435ec728ba1ff14a77d456a07df7ee704169e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$2.63
Total PnL
$-5.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 17?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 17?
217 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.65
$-0.35
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?
10 shares @ 31.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 15?
1 shares @ 79.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 17?$1.05May 16, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 17?$1.05May 16, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?$1.01May 16, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$1.37May 15, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$0.83May 15, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$1.03May 15, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$1.02May 15, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$1.07May 15, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 16?$1.16May 15, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?$1.06May 15, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 16?$1.04May 15, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 15?$1.01May 15, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?$2.03May 15, 09:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $1.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 09:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 03:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".