Relieved-Representative
0xf44d9120f31401acf62e63e18c5aaf06f57a68ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
3400 shares @ 28.4¢·now 29.5¢·exp May 30, 2027$1.0K
$37.00
- YES
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
5100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 30, 2027$12.75
$2.55
- YES
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
2000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$9.00
$3.00
- NO
Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?
3012 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-35.13
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
800 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-96.00
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
800 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-102.40
- ALEX PEREIRA
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
600 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-306.00
- YES
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-01?
500 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$3.07Jul 20, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cristiano Ronaldo win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$800.00Jul 20, 00:36 UTC
- REDEEMWorld Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?$598.32Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMPresident Trump to Attend World Cup Final?$286.00Jul 19, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$4.97Jul 19, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.12Jul 19, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.68Jul 19, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.00Jul 19, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.00Jul 19, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.00Jul 19, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.01Jul 19, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?$280.00Jul 19, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?$112.00Jul 19, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?$168.00Jul 19, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.02Jul 19, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.02Jul 19, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.04Jul 19, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.02Jul 19, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.02Jul 19, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.06Jul 19, 15:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $27.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 03:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.