Clumsy-Itinerary
0xf4646437651aced19f06cec75954f052a6829aa5
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$172.97
Total PnL
$-21.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
70 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$70.42
$20.42
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
143 shares @ 35.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$62.14
$12.14
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
180 shares @ 25.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.40
$-4.49
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
143 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$21.57Mar 20, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$44.89Mar 20, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by December 31?$50.00Mar 20, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$5.00Mar 20, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$50.00Mar 20, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$50.00Mar 20, 11:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $39.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 11:32 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 16:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.