Some-Contingency
0xf4697a14c19fb5104f0c572d2226c5755d803995
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-556.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- CLIPPERS
Celtics vs. Clippers
200 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-108.00
- THUNDER
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
190 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-100.70
- NO
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?
95 shares @ 53.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.70
- BULLS
Hornets vs. Bulls
85 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-60.35
- SPURS
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs
85 shares @ 58.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-49.90
- YES
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?
80 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.04
- NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. California Golden Bears
65 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-31.85
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?
65 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-31.85
- BOISE STATE BRONCOS
Boise State Broncos vs. San Diego State Aztecs
55 shares @ 65.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-35.91
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
55 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-41.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUkraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?$69.00Mar 27, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? $81.40Mar 27, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?$177.50Mar 27, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?$102.96Mar 27, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?$50.99Mar 27, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$44.55Mar 27, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election held by December 31, 2026?$29.40Mar 27, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?$24.32Mar 27, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$23.10Mar 27, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$14.40Mar 27, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?$14.79Mar 24, 06:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?$0.00Mar 19, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?$0.00Mar 19, 04:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?$50.00Mar 19, 04:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?$54.99Mar 19, 04:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Prymorske by February 28, 2026?$0.00Mar 19, 04:41 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$0.00Mar 19, 04:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?$0.00Mar 19, 04:41 UTC
- REDEEMOle Miss vs. Georgia$0.00Mar 19, 04:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?$0.00Mar 19, 04:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $33.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 02:01 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 18:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.