Burly-Reclamation
0xf4877afbd52aed412ff28423dd604938b30e7c47
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$635.97
Total PnL
$-36.46
Realised
$-6.03
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
307 shares @ 94.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$307.01
$17.75
- UP
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
32 shares @ 6.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$32.00
$30.08
- UP
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
30 shares @ 31.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$30.00
$20.70
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
26 shares @ 64.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$26.00
$9.28
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
25 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$25.00
$7.75
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - October 31, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
24 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$24.00
$7.44
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
23 shares @ 7.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$23.00
$21.39
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
18 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$18.00
$5.58
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
18 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$18.00
$3.06
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
17 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$17.00
$3.74
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?$1.20Jan 15, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 14 be between 1,800,000 and 1,900,000?$2.38Jan 15, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 14 be between 1,800,000 and 1,900,000?$12.07Jan 15, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?$2.16Jan 15, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$2.70Jan 15, 06:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DoorDash report between 875 million and 900 million total orders in Q4 2025?$1.80Jan 15, 05:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?$12.54Jan 15, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?$14.82Jan 15, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$3.10Jan 15, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026$4.05Jan 15, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josy and Gunnar marry by the end of Love is Blind: Germany: Season 2?$0.91Jan 14, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josy and Gunnar marry by the end of Love is Blind: Germany: Season 2?$3.51Jan 14, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on January 16, 2026?$3.85Jan 14, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on January 16, 2026?$3.71Jan 14, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026$4.68Jan 14, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026$6.12Jan 14, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$1.53Jan 14, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DoorDash report between 875 million and 900 million total orders in Q4 2025?$1.96Jan 14, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026$6.24Jan 14, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$3.20Jan 14, 09:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $32.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 31, 18:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 13:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".