Icy-Someplace
0xf4a278af655f100a5ca9274f271917467089dded
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$10.97
Total PnL
$-107.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?
11 shares @ 89.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$10.97
$0.97
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,500 and $4,600 on October 16?
139 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?
74 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $120,000 and $122,000 on October 19?
40 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
OpenAI browser in 2025?
27 shares @ 37.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on October 10?
24 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?
23 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid vs. Barcelona end in a draw?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,400 and $4,500 on October 16?
20 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$10.00Jan 28, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?$2.29Jan 28, 22:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sporting CP win on 2026-01-28?$6.05Jan 28, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28?$9.08Jan 28, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting CP win on 2026-01-28?$2.00Jan 27, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28?$2.00Jan 27, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?$2.00Jan 27, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-28?$2.00Jan 27, 22:29 UTC
- TRADESELLFelix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch?$3.25Dec 14, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?$3.06Dec 14, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk change his X profile picture by December 31?$3.85Dec 14, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?$3.00Nov 27, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYFelix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch?$3.00Nov 27, 22:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Monad perform an airdrop by November 25? $10.39Nov 27, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 20?$2.00Nov 19, 22:23 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?$2.65Nov 19, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?$2.50Nov 13, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 13?$2.01Nov 13, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monad perform an airdrop by November 25? $10.00Nov 12, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 13?$2.00Nov 12, 22:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $5.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 21:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 28, 22:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".