Gullible-Musician
0xf4b56b9e96c8d56bb2877e6ce53adc504c9682ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-268.65
Realised
$-154.97
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
6000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- NO
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
3262 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.68
- YES
Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
140 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
100 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-39.00
- YES
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
72 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in September 2025?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Paul Mescal win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$0.10May 19, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$1.04May 19, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.05May 19, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.03May 19, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$5.23May 16, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$98.97Feb 10, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$100.00Feb 10, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$9.45Feb 10, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$20.00Feb 10, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$2.87Feb 10, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$3.00Feb 10, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$39.00Feb 2, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$4.00Jan 31, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$10.00Jan 30, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?$10.00Jan 29, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?$8.50Jan 29, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?$0.10Jan 29, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?$1.40Jan 29, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?$167.67Jan 29, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?$100.01Jan 29, 02:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $19.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 23:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 21:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".