Velvety-Way
0xf4d36357d6ee3cc41af93cfc5b85ca14005313cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
77
Open notional
$250.38
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$17.55
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 77- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
67 shares @ 24.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$66.67
$50.67
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
294 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.53
$-1.47
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
35 shares @ 57.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$34.63
$14.63
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
333 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.31
$-1.67
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
182 shares @ 11.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.27
$-2.73
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
59 shares @ 34.0¢·now 25.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.79
$-5.21
- YES
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
182 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.80
$-7.20
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
250 shares @ 6.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.13
$-3.88
- YES
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
1250 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
500 shares @ 6.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.25
$-23.75
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $38.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".