Surprised-Borrowing
0xf4fdb3d90a6294028e16f4995347001f34cf3852
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.1K
Realised
$-1.7K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
301535 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.6K
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
43524 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.2K
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
38099 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-729.93
- YES
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?
16396 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.9K
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 10?
31 shares @ 61.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$75.00May 28, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$173.00May 27, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$40.00May 26, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$27.00May 25, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$160.00May 25, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$67.00May 25, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$53.00May 25, 03:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$53.38May 25, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$135.00May 24, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$490.00May 23, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$491.30May 23, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$160.00May 19, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$20.00May 18, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$20.00May 18, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$93.00May 17, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$34.00May 17, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 10?$19.36May 10, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$141.00May 7, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 15?$140.55May 7, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$257.00May 6, 08:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $377.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 13:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 16:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.