Actual-Treaty
0xf50384821bf039d53bc284c1adaec3d8f5eb51ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$242.69
Total PnL
$-831.29
Realised
$15.67
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
146 shares @ 63.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$100.73
$8.75
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 4?
100 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$100.00
$0.50
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
57 shares @ 46.3¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$34.17
$7.58
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 59.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.17
$1.23
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 46.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.63
$1.32
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
1000 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
325 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
318 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-39.88
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
254 shares @ 97.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-248.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
238 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 4?$99.54May 4, 03:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?$0.00May 4, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$0.00May 4, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?$32.41May 4, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$113.87May 4, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 15?$0.00Apr 18, 03:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 16?$0.00Apr 18, 03:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $151.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 23:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.