Short-Pavement
0xf51979b473f48fa389cace3de0f4f536e513924a
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$2.76
Total PnL
$-255.08
Realised
$-57.65
Win rate
25%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Epstein client list released by June 30?
30 shares @ 29.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.30
$-7.40
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
7 shares @ 28.3¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$1.29
$-0.69
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
7 shares @ 18.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.16
$-1.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
321 shares @ 28.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-90.27
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $180–185 in 2025?
283 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-54.65
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
253 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
140 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
132 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-15.64
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
88 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
48 shares @ 19.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-9.37
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$1.26Mar 17, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$1.07Mar 17, 11:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recession by end of 2026?$2.40Mar 17, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?$68.06Jan 5, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMEpstein client list released in 2025?$2.00Jan 3, 22:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?$6.01Jan 3, 22:12 UTC
- REDEEMGrok 4.20 released by December 31?$26.25Jan 3, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $180–185 in 2025?$8.53Dec 31, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLEpstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?$66.71Dec 31, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$18.28Dec 31, 05:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$13.36Dec 31, 05:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$33.58Dec 31, 05:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$9.50Dec 31, 05:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$0.71Dec 31, 05:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$4.65Dec 31, 05:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$20.50Dec 31, 05:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$0.72Dec 31, 05:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$4.96Dec 31, 05:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$3.04Dec 31, 05:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$5.81Dec 31, 05:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $13.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 30, 16:25 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 11:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".