0xf51b1d560e33b1c56f8a9a4e8fec3d4800c0ca1b
0xf51b1d560e33b1c56f8a9a4e8fec3d4800c0ca1b
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$191.70
Total PnL
$-5.67
Realised
$3.54
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 8?
90 shares @ 26.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 8, 2026$89.86
$66.46
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 8?
70 shares @ 31.0¢·now 35.9¢·exp May 8, 2026$25.16
$3.46
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or higher on May 9?
70 shares @ 31.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$23.80
$2.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 9?
90 shares @ 26.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$13.50
$-9.90
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 9?
40 shares @ 31.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp May 9, 2026$12.20
$-0.20
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 9?
30 shares @ 20.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$10.20
$4.20
- YES
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
300 shares @ 1.8¢·now 2.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.00
$0.72
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on May 9?
5 shares @ 31.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$4.99
$3.45
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 8?
3 shares @ 74.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 8, 2026$3.19
$0.82
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on May 9?
5 shares @ 31.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$1.30
$-0.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 8?$10.229m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 8?$11.489m ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$0.0041m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on May 9?$1.4344m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on May 9?$0.121h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on May 9?$0.101h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 9?$4.412h ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$19.992h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 9?$1.592h ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$0.002h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on May 9?$0.152h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on May 9?$0.902h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 8?$0.002h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on May 9?$0.452h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on May 9?$0.052h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on May 10?$0.023h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or higher on May 9?$11.053h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on May 10?$0.023h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 8?$3.103h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 9?$12.403h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $4.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 14h ago
- Last active
- 9m ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".