Second-Genie
0xf52419536e2b081d38b6be409b9ffdfa84c5d5af
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
7886 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-309.99
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?
6766 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-199.99
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
3922 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
U.S. forces in Gaza in 2025?
3076 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-105.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31?
2648 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
1364 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
683 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-58.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?
321 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
286 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
222 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?$238.03Jul 19, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMPackers vs. Bears$0.00Dec 21, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYPackers vs. Bears$301.79Dec 21, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?$8.00Dec 19, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?$50.00Dec 19, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?$20.00Dec 19, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?$20.00Dec 19, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$0.00Dec 19, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$0.00Dec 13, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$0.00Dec 13, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMCowboys vs. Lions$0.00Dec 13, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$0.00Dec 13, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?$163.94Dec 13, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEM'No change' or '25 bps cut' favored for Fed decision in January on December 10?$0.00Dec 13, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMCowboys vs. Lions$163.93Dec 13, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pacers$0.00Dec 4, 23:06 UTC
- REDEEMGiants vs. Patriots$0.00Dec 4, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUY'No change' or '25 bps cut' favored for Fed decision in January on December 10?$54.33Dec 4, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$120.00Dec 4, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$100.00Dec 4, 05:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $177.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 16, 17:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 21:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.