0xf52742cf82fcdc179dd2442322431aa116124cec
0xf52742cf82fcdc179dd2442322431aa116124cec
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
53
Open notional
$0.55
Total PnL
$-195.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$0.55
$-0.45
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 5?
1393 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 5?
1220 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Bitcoin above 63,200 on July 17, 6AM ET?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Solstice launch a token by December 31 2026?
274 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17?
208 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4PM ET
150 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$1.18Jul 17, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$1.04Jul 17, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?$1.05Jul 17, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$5.19Jul 17, 15:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$1.67Jul 17, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$5.23Jul 17, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$1.04Jul 17, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$11.66Jul 17, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$1.04Jul 17, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$6.20Jul 17, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$1.05Jul 17, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$1.07Jul 17, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$1.08Jul 17, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$1.02Jul 17, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$1.05Jul 17, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$1.60Jul 17, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$1.07Jul 17, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.68Jul 17, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.07Jul 17, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.07Jul 17, 14:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 18:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 15:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.