0xf5473bd8ce8e36bc50ea09455efd3420b93a0fd4
0xf5473bd8ce8e36bc50ea09455efd3420b93a0fd4
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$148.01
Total PnL
$-12.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
542 shares @ 13.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$67.73
$-2.71
- YES
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-09?
96 shares @ 31.1¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$21.22
$-8.78
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08?
12 shares @ 84.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$10.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14 shares @ 71.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$9.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15 shares @ 66.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$9.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16 shares @ 63.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$9.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14 shares @ 69.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$9.78
$-0.22
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$9.44
$-0.56
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Italy win on 2026-06-07?$33.33Jun 8, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.16Jun 7, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-08?$10.10Jun 7, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.14Jun 7, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.15Jun 7, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.14Jun 7, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win on 2026-06-07?$10.26Jun 7, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-14?$10.27Jun 7, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thailand win on 2026-06-09?$30.77Jun 7, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$73.24Jun 6, 15:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $19.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 15:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 04:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.