Glittering-Zucchini
0xf54c345cedbaa391ff3cfecfafa5f6f53ba161e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$24.72
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
363 shares @ 15.1¢·now 6.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.72
$-30.28
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
3333 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Israel x Egypt sever diplomatic relations before July?
2568 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will India invade Pakistan before July?
2529 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-429.99
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?
2425 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-389.00
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
1097 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- YES
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2026?
1090 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-109.00
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
1000 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
China x India military clash by June 30?
570 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$40.00May 26, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$55.00Jan 1, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$55.00Jan 1, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2026?$50.00Aug 8, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2026?$59.00Aug 8, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael military action against Iran before July?$59.09Aug 8, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael military action against Iran in April?$0.00May 10, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens $0.00May 8, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMMegaquake before May?$0.00May 8, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Iran before July?$13.00Apr 30, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x India military clash by June 30?$25.00Apr 26, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaquake before May?$20.00Apr 26, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens $50.00Apr 25, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Iran in April?$4.00Apr 25, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill India invade Pakistan before July?$30.00Apr 25, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill India invade Pakistan before July?$200.00Apr 25, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill India invade Pakistan before July?$200.00Apr 25, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by March 31?$0.00Apr 7, 21:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?$0.00Apr 7, 21:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by March 31?$0.00Apr 7, 21:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $118.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 15:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 06:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.