Unfolded-Comportment
0xf54e838306bb5651859d681ad0d6a1a95b4c1a7c
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$18.19
Total PnL
$-8.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
14 shares @ 64.8¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 10?
5 shares @ 74.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$4.00
$0.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7 shares @ 15.3¢·now 35.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.30
$1.30
- YES
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.91
$-0.09
- NO
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 93.5¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?
23 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 4?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 21?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 24?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.04Jul 3, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 10?$2.04Jul 3, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$2.03Jul 3, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 10?$2.04Jul 3, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill MetaMask launch a token by June 30?$1.16Jul 1, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.44Jul 1, 00:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$8.04Jun 30, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.78Jun 27, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.04Jun 20, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$5.07Jun 20, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.01Jun 11, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$2.03Jun 11, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$5.03May 30, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 5?$1.04May 28, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 28?$1.10May 28, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 23?$1.12May 28, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Perena launch a token by March 31, 2026?$1.16May 28, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 26?$1.20May 28, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.02May 9, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.00Apr 23, 15:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 16, 23:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 22:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.