Smug-Spectacles
0xf563c7596ae86c3272397701c9cfc132eae5a5b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$8.72
Total PnL
$-325.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
545 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.27
$0.27
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
158 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.45
$-0.55
- YES
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?
2087 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?
1500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Dak Prescott be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Shohei Ohtani be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?
612 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
438 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-40.18
- YES
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?
341 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-27.93
- YES
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?
299 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.15
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$41.78May 18, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$51.65May 18, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$25.07May 15, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$15.48May 15, 15:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 28, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 24, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 12, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?$24.42Feb 11, 16:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Safaera be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?$24.42Feb 11, 16:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 11, 00:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 10, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBig Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?$44.00Feb 5, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?$44.00Feb 5, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B$0.00Feb 5, 10:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$0.00Feb 5, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$3.34Feb 5, 09:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$3.36Feb 5, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$2.65Feb 5, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance attend Super Bowl LX?$2.00Feb 5, 09:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $12.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 15, 17:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".