Leading-Bin
0xf587336e20a90b58344231283c9b2c692d5fde7f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
56
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$112.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
450 shares @ 85.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$440.32
$57.82
- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
450 shares @ 85.7¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$382.50
$-3.00
- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
250 shares @ 78.8¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$192.50
$-4.50
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
200 shares @ 77.4¢·now 89.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$178.10
$23.30
- YES
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
600 shares @ 34.7¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$177.00
$-31.00
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
225 shares @ 80.5¢·now 75.6¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$170.42
$-10.91
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
112 shares @ 89.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$102.81
$2.81
- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
150 shares @ 64.3¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$93.75
$-2.75
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
100 shares @ 60.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$93.50
$33.50
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
577 shares @ 88.4¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$89.38
$-420.62
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?$168.00Jul 27, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?$6.78Jul 27, 14:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?$89.22Jul 27, 00:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?$20.54Jul 25, 19:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-07-23?$0.00Jul 25, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$63.93Jul 25, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?$24.19Jul 25, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$101.12Jul 25, 19:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Orgryte IS win on 2026-07-24?$30.00Jul 24, 20:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Helsingin JK win on 2026-07-23?$20.00Jul 23, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-07-23?$25.20Jul 23, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?$33.88Jul 23, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-07-22?$30.00Jul 23, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill CS Cienciano win on 2026-07-22?$5.60Jul 23, 04:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $40.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 17:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.