Rude-Brisket
0xf58ba03b6431fa8abbb488092da61acfeeb251fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
149
Open notional
$566.12
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$101.81
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 149- NO
Huddle FDV above $20M one day after launch?
268 shares @ 59.4¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$247.55
$88.65
- NO
Will Squid launch a token by July 31, 2026?
85 shares @ 61.3¢·now 99.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$84.48
$32.13
- NO
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?
88 shares @ 53.8¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$63.53
$16.01
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
148 shares @ 45.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$62.90
$-3.70
- NO
Squid FDV above $100M one day after launch
106 shares @ 60.9¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$61.13
$-3.61
- NO
Unit FDV above $1B one day after launch?
37 shares @ 64.1¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$33.39
$9.74
- NO
Huddle FDV above $100M one day after launch?
18 shares @ 79.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$13.13
$-1.09
- YES
Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1203 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-41.60
- YES
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals
213 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-63.93
- YES
Michael Olise: 1+ goals
175 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-31.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUnit FDV above $600M one day after launch?$27.42Jul 26, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$213.08Jul 20, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lamine Yamal score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.48Jul 19, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lamine Yamal score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$83.52Jul 19, 20:38 UTC
- REDEEMJude Bellingham: 2+ shots$22.00Jul 18, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMOusmane Dembélé: 2+ shots$22.00Jul 18, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. England: Team to Take First Corner$21.99Jul 18, 23:25 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners$22.00Jul 18, 23:25 UTC
- REDEEMMichael Olise: 1+ assists$22.00Jul 18, 23:23 UTC
- REDEEMOusmane Dembélé: 1+ goals$22.00Jul 18, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. England: France O/U 1.5$21.00Jul 18, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMKylian Mbappé: 1+ assists$22.00Jul 18, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMKylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$22.00Jul 18, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. England: England O/U 1.5$21.00Jul 18, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. England: O/U 2.5$21.00Jul 18, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$22.00Jul 18, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. England: Draw at halftime?$21.00Jul 18, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMEngland to win the second half?$21.00Jul 18, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMCredible FDV above $20M one day after launch?$132.00Jul 18, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals$66.16Jul 18, 21:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $19.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 00:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 15:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.