Recent-Family
0xf5910c51cc1146c34004908375970324492f0619
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-60.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 24?
220 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.96
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 20?
209 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.76
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 15?
206 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.48
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 26?
192 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
- YES
Will $MARU reach $1B in Q1?
184 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.47
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on January 31?
183 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.28
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?
180 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.52
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on January 27?
165 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.79
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.80 January 19-25?
160 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-6.70
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 26?
158 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?$103.08Jun 1, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?$0.17May 31, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?$0.32May 31, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?$0.34May 31, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?$0.25May 31, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?$0.16May 31, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?$100.70May 31, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 26?$3.21May 25, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 19?$97.86May 19, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 19?$96.49May 19, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 15?$2.65May 14, 20:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 12?$106.58May 12, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 12?$104.87May 12, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?$2.69May 11, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 30?$118.00May 2, 09:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 28?$0.00Apr 25, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 21, 12AM ET$0.00Apr 17, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down on April 16?$1.70Apr 16, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 11?$1.34Apr 10, 23:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 31?$0.00Apr 10, 23:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $45.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 13:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 21:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.