Sharp-Castanet
0xf59c0a692553ef5859caa53b4240b3a3c87aa682
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
74
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-52.8K
Realised
$-1.1K
Win rate
33%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- YES
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
33333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-99.97
- YES
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?
16777 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-797.87
- LAKERS
Thunder vs. Lakers
12632 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.0K
- FRANCE
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
9721 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.8K
- MAGIC
Magic vs. Pistons
9501 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.2K
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?
9091 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-999.99
- TIMBERWOLVES
Timberwolves vs. Spurs
8817 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-18?
8000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.0K
- RAPTORS
Raptors vs. Cavaliers
6880 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
6669 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.6K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$52.97Jul 20, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$51.85Jul 20, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$102.04Jul 20, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$51.78Jul 20, 04:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$22.17Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$53.04Jul 17, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$91.72Jul 17, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$41.58Jul 17, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$2.02Jul 17, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$51.89Jul 17, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$46.14Jul 17, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$308.21Jul 17, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$4.1KJul 17, 05:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$215.12Jul 17, 05:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$577.33Jul 17, 05:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$1.2KJul 17, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$234.70Jul 17, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$293.01Jul 17, 05:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.9KJul 17, 05:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$11.7K
Trades
1
Buy share
50%
Window
Jun 15, 01:10 UTC → Jul 12, 05:12 UTC
- SELLWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?$5.9K@99¢Jun 15, 01:05 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 2 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
2 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?
$5.9K · 50% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $563.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 02:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 05:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.