Embarrassed-Industry
0xf5abfb350e510df77bac84eabb38f3ecf9d43bcf
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$46.00
Total PnL
$-27.65
Realised
$-0.23
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Sweden?
21 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.00
$1.68
- NO
Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 0 Canada?
13 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$13.00
$0.78
- NO
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Belgium?
12 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$12.00
$0.72
- NO
Exact Score: FC Rapid 1923 1 - 0 Sepsi OSK?
18 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-16.20
- YES
Spain to score first vs. Cabo Verde?
16 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-14.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: FC Rapid 1923 1 - 0 Sepsi OSK?$16.28Jul 20, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Belgium?$11.31Jul 10, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 1 - 0 Sweden?$19.37Jun 30, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: South Africa 1 - 0 Canada?$12.24Jun 28, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain to score first vs. Cabo Verde?$14.44Jun 15, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Knicks (-17.5)$12.00Jun 15, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$16.00Jun 15, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-17.5)$10.83Jun 10, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$14.46Jun 2, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-05-31?$11.00Jun 2, 05:43 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)$14.00Jun 2, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-05-31?$10.25May 31, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)$12.91May 23, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$3.00May 23, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)$12.00May 23, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)$10.83May 13, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $1.45 on March 26?$12.99Mar 28, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$578.15Mar 27, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$349.32Mar 27, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$231.07Mar 27, 09:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $229.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 06:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 08:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.