Perky-Hornet
0xf5b6b4f17c99f6770acd4e5e0a312afda99ab61d
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-39.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on May 5?
403 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
40 shares @ 19.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- MEXICO
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
18 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-8.82
- LAKERS
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)
15 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-6.72
- BELGIUM
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)
10 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.82
- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
8 shares @ 63.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US downs a Mexican cartel drone by March 31?
7 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
4 shares @ 26.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: Team to Advance$8.96Jul 3, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.51Jul 3, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.45Jul 3, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.94Jul 1, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?$3.95Jul 1, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Belgium (-1.5)$2.88Jul 1, 19:53 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Mexico (-1.5)$2.44Jul 1, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Mexico (-1.5)$1.02Jun 10, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$5.07Jun 8, 19:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.22May 20, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?$5.20May 18, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on May 5?$5.25May 4, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYRuben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?$8.00May 4, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$0.00Apr 27, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$2.00Apr 27, 17:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $3.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 01:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 15:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.