Spirited-Bough
0xf5be84706415665c862d6e6ed6bcb27ef4bf2d34
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$288.97
Total PnL
$-6.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 9?
273 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$272.96
$0.55
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?
16 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$16.01
$0.02
- YES
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
137 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 9?$272.45Apr 9, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$11.93Apr 7, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$11.91Mar 23, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?$8.65Mar 23, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$11.57Mar 23, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$13.49Mar 23, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?$8.61Mar 16, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$11.56Mar 14, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?$15.99Mar 7, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$13.38Feb 28, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$6.85Feb 12, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $20 end of January?$13.54Feb 2, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$14.13Feb 2, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cade Cunningham be a 2026 NBA All-Star?$17.69Feb 2, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $0.40 in January?$18.96Feb 2, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $0.20 in January?$19.82Feb 2, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.20 in January?$19.80Jan 28, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.40 in January?$18.94Jan 28, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$13.57Jan 28, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cade Cunningham be a 2026 NBA All-Star?$17.65Jan 15, 09:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $32.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 26, 10:18 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 06:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.