0xf5d82193e3143d4b529456cb394ef8affb7ac333
0xf5d82193e3143d4b529456cb394ef8affb7ac333
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$32.57
Total PnL
$-51.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in July?
15 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$15.28
$0.52
- YES
Will MrBeast hit 134 billion views by July 31?
11 shares @ 14.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$11.07
$9.52
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.12
$0.07
- NO
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on June 23?
3 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$3.10
$0.03
- YES
Will MrBeast hit 133.5 billion views by July 31?
154 shares @ 39.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-60.40
- YES
Will MrBeast hit 133 billion views by July 31?
3 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.73
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Leavitt say "CDC" or "WHO" during the next White House Press Briefing?$2.03Jul 24, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "CDC" or "WHO" during the next White House Press Briefing?$1.97Jul 23, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?$2.80Jul 23, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?$10.99Jul 23, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Andy Burnham in July?$14.78Jul 20, 22:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Adidas be the brand of gloves worn by the Golden Glove winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.60Jul 20, 00:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Baby" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?$3.63Jul 20, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adidas be the brand of gloves worn by the Golden Glove winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.67Jul 19, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adidas be the brand of gloves worn by the Golden Glove winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.87Jul 19, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Baby" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?$3.59Jul 19, 22:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #1 song this week?$5.54Jul 17, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #1 song this week?$1.55Jul 17, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #1 song this week?$3.93Jul 17, 16:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump accuse Russia of election interference by July 16?$13.73Jul 17, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump accuse Russia of election interference by July 16?$13.68Jul 17, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 31?$13.79Jul 17, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 17?$3.30Jul 17, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 17?$3.34Jul 17, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 31?$13.82Jul 17, 02:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$13.84Jul 16, 08:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $6.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 18:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 00:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.