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EntertainmentExpires Dec 31, 2026

Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Probability

51¢

1h

+2.0pp

24h

-7.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$80.99

Probability (last 7 days)

-33.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 16:59
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 7pp over 24h

    Now 51¢; +2.0pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 5983h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 89.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5983.0h

    LOW
  • 17:00Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 5983h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 16:59Price

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 15:00Price

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -26.5pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -27.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -26.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -27.5pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -27.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -26.5pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -26.5pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -26.5pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -26.5pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -26.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -31.5pp

    to 52¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -26.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -25.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -26.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -25.5pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -26.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -26.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -25.5pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -25.5pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -25.5pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -25.5pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -26.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -26.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -25.5pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -26.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -27.0pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the named people who attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding. If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". the resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence of the event, or by statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the attendee, or their legal or social media representatives. Only physical attendance of the event will qualify; virtual attendance or confirmation of an invitation will not count.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Dec 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
to the named people who attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's weddingAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (89.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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