Imperturbable-Sanity
0xf5da52f3dcfb924e06fde8d5948ad477e7fe27b7
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-671.77
Win rate
6%
35 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?
475 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 5?
266 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-25.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 6?
246 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-53.68
- NO
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?
232 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-42.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 8?
207 shares @ 25.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-52.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on May 7?
188 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-6.59
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 8?
164 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-16.40
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 8?
123 shares @ 60.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-73.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 8?
105 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on May 8?
99 shares @ 59.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-59.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 23?$0.00May 24, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 23?$0.00May 24, 00:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 23?$0.00May 24, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 23?$0.00May 23, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 23?$0.00May 23, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$5.99May 23, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$5.99May 23, 15:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 23?$9.56May 23, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 23?$6.12May 23, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 23?$6.11May 23, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 23?$6.23May 23, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 23?$6.16May 23, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 22?$0.00May 23, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 22?$0.00May 23, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on May 22?$0.00May 23, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 22?$0.00May 23, 06:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 22?$0.00May 23, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 22?$0.00May 23, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 22?$0.00May 23, 00:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be 86°F or higher on May 22?$0.00May 23, 00:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
6% win rate over 35 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
35 closed markets, 6% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $8.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 16:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 01:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 35 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.