Rare-Contingency
0xf5db4d332055776713d4d6a2fed0dfb49a280da7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-55.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?
3500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Norway win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
1354 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Malta win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
423 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Serbia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Poland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Croatia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$33.89May 16, 23:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$15.36May 16, 23:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$57.08May 16, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$5.20May 16, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$4.15May 16, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$3.13May 16, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Malta win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$2.10May 16, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$3.14May 16, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia win Eurovision 2026?$2.10May 16, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$4.19May 16, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Malta win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$2.10May 16, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$2.10May 16, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 18:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $6.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 17:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 23:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.