Astonishing-Armpit
0xf5e132e33f2e0e444203849bb57a99b380b156df
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$21.75
Total PnL
$-17.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will India join the Board of Peace?
7 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$7.32
$4.32
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.56
$4.56
- YES
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.47
$3.47
- YES
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 3.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.03
$1.03
- NO
Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
- NO
Ángela Aguilar & Christian Nodal split in 2026?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.53
$-0.47
- YES
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.43
$-0.57
- YES
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
81 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.37
$-0.63
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.12
$-0.88
- YES
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Hryshyne by April 30, 2026?$1.00Mar 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?$1.00Mar 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?$2.00Mar 13, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Apple TV" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?$0.00Mar 13, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?$0.00Mar 13, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Apple TV" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?$1.41Mar 13, 00:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?$2.04Mar 13, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 13, 00:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by March 31?$2.18Mar 6, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple announce the iPhone 17e by March 15?$1.50Feb 28, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be 1 NYT banner headline by February 28?$1.14Feb 28, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?$1.00Feb 28, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike gulf oil facilities by March 31?$1.00Feb 28, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?$2.27Feb 28, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 18?$0.00Feb 25, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$0.00Feb 25, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill January 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?$0.00Feb 25, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's latest video get 20–22 million views on day 1?$0.00Feb 25, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's latest video get 24 million or more views on day 1?$0.00Feb 25, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$0.00Feb 25, 20:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 09:22 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".