Mean-Confusion
0xf5e76f42c2c48b36b47febd1b13e4294e80d3345
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $156-$158 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?
710 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-92.30
- YES
Max Christie: Points O/U 16.5
572 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-74.35
- NO
Will Ehime FC win on 2026-04-05?
351 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-291.39
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on January 23?
310 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-23.52
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of January 19 above $155?
307 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-11.65
- OVER
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Paris FC: O/U 1.5
300 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-225.00
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 9 - 15 be between 14,000,000 and 14,500,000?
278 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.90
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 18 be less than 2,000,000?
249 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-6.47
- ZIMBABWE
ODI Series New Zealand vs Zimbabwe, Women: New Zealand vs Zimbabwe
245 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-19.56
- JAZZ
Jazz vs. Nuggets
219 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-37.21
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Clarence Blalock win the GA-14 special election?$192.69May 8, 22:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-04-03?$162.93May 7, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Katie Dempsey win the GA-14 special election?$202.02May 7, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rob Ruszkowski win the GA-14 special election?$253.52May 7, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: RC Strasbourg Alsace 0 - 1 OGC Nice?$365.37May 7, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ehime FC win on 2026-04-05?$291.39Apr 2, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: RC Strasbourg Alsace 0 - 1 OGC Nice?$332.49Apr 1, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 29, 2026?$571.39Apr 1, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-04-03?$122.20Mar 29, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$6.60Mar 28, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMax Christie: Points O/U 16.5$74.35Mar 28, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 29, 2026?$497.11Mar 27, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMAmérica de Cali vs. Llaneros FC: O/U 3.5$695.75Mar 26, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEstevez vs. Janvier: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5$44.01Mar 24, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir (PLTR) close at $156-$158 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?$92.30Mar 24, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYJazz vs. Nuggets$37.21Mar 23, 22:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Migrant Crime" this week? (March 22)$138.04Mar 23, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYGranada CF vs. SD Huesca: O/U 3.5$141.93Mar 23, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYAmérica de Cali vs. Llaneros FC: O/U 3.5$507.90Mar 22, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMCharlton Athletic FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 4.5$678.13Mar 22, 01:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $167.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 14:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 22:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".