Ordinary-Dress
0xf5e814660a5a5ac071390a36122e7bc7c1309fbd
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$6.8K
Total PnL
$8.6K
Realised
$7.7K
Win rate
98%
107 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
5553 shares @ 0.8¢·now 4.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$244.34
$201.69
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
650 shares @ 5.8¢·now 35.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$233.03
$195.59
- YES
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
900 shares @ 4.9¢·now 19.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$175.50
$131.82
- YES
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
450 shares @ 3.1¢·now 38.9¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$175.05
$161.26
- YES
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
1290 shares @ 2.1¢·now 13.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$168.34
$140.85
- YES
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
750 shares @ 7.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$161.24
$108.75
- YES
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
750 shares @ 2.5¢·now 21.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$158.25
$139.61
- YES
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 10.6¢·now 28.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$142.95
$89.95
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
328 shares @ 3.8¢·now 43.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$141.04
$128.58
- YES
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
400 shares @ 16.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$128.00
$64.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$0.11Jun 13, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$17.64Jun 13, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.27Jun 13, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$24.00Jun 13, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?$1.30Jun 13, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$33.34Jun 13, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$1.40Jun 13, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$0.28Jun 13, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$6.98Jun 13, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?$28.00Jun 13, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?$8.62Jun 13, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?$16.10Jun 13, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?$0.09Jun 13, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?$2.19Jun 13, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.50Jun 13, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.50Jun 13, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.34Jun 13, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$20.00Jun 13, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$20.00Jun 13, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$3.00Jun 13, 17:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $9.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 16:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 20:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 107 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.