Weepy-Wild
0xf5e838e17d89abf525b808e44209c29f4de4a1ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$4.4K
Total PnL
$-590.01
Realised
$23.92
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Trump out as President by July 31?
2000 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.0K
$5.60
- NO
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
505 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$454.50
$-5.05
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
525 shares @ 81.3¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$406.88
$-20.12
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?
336 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.6¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$331.08
$2.49
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
300 shares @ 97.8¢·now 96.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$289.50
$-3.90
- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$271.50
$-1.50
- NO
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
300 shares @ 85.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$253.50
$-1.50
- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: July
276 shares @ 92.8¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$210.99
$-44.95
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
200 shares @ 90.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$175.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?
588 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?$273.00Jul 21, 02:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?$245.00Jul 20, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?$5.66Jul 20, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?$455.00Jul 20, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by July 31?$697.31Jul 20, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$256.53Jul 20, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: July$93.50Jul 20, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$158.00Jul 20, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by July 31?$996.16Jul 20, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$164.00Jul 20, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$133.52Jul 20, 16:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
11/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $396.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 20:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.