Circular-Cation
0xf5ea6d351135c2451e37588784437ca76a817cae
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$179.91
Total PnL
$-1.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the WV-01 House seat?
53 shares @ 97.3¢·now 96.2¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$50.99
$-0.58
- NO
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
53 shares @ 96.4¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.32
$-0.77
- NO
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?
46 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$45.63
$0.18
- NO
Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
19 shares @ 96.4¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$17.31
$-0.82
- NO
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?
16 shares @ 97.2¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$15.66
$0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?$47.00Jun 12, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $5B one day after launch?$4.91Jun 12, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $5B one day after launch?$0.98Jun 12, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $5B one day after launch?$0.98Jun 12, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $5B one day after launch?$8.78Jun 12, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?$45.45Jun 11, 18:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?$51.41Jun 11, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?$51.95Jun 11, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?$5.21Jun 11, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?$40.66Jun 11, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$56.34Jun 9, 07:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?$4.96Jun 5, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?$26.78Jun 5, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?$4.96Jun 5, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?$7.94Jun 5, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?$50.96May 29, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?$44.19May 26, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$1.09May 25, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$10.00May 25, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$7.00May 25, 20:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $26.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 22:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.