SportsMulti-outcomeExpires Dec 31, 2026

Will Ilia Topuria be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?

Probability

37¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$37.54

Probability (last 7 days)

+12.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 19:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:54
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 5982h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 74.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5982.1h

    LOW
  • 17:54Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 5982h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 37¢.

Biggest hourly move: +12.0pp at 3d ago (to 37¢).

Show all 44 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 06:00 · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 05:00 · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 03:00 · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 02:00 · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 00:00 · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 22:00 · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 20:00 · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 18:00 · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 1d ago · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 1d ago · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 1d ago · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 1d ago · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 1d ago · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 1d ago · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 1d ago · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 1d ago · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 1d ago · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 1d ago · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 2d ago · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 2d ago · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 2d ago · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 2d ago · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 2d ago · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 2d ago · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 2d ago · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 2d ago · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 2d ago · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 2d ago · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 2d ago · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 2d ago · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 2d ago · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 2d ago · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 2d ago · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 2d ago · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 3d ago · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 3d ago · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 3d ago · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 3d ago · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 3d ago · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 3d ago · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 3d ago · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 3d ago · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 3d ago · +12.0pp → 37¢
  • 3d ago · +12.0pp → 37¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the fighter that is ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. If, for any reason, there is no fighter ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at this market’s check-time, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Dec 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
to the fighter that is ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ETAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
ufc.com
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (74.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.