Classic-Swivel
0xf5fc2c55d318ff6be7882c114983ac5eafdc8e2e
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$348.37
Total PnL
$-5.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?
77 shares @ 96.2¢·now 91.5¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$70.00
$-3.65
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?
53 shares @ 95.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$51.26
$1.26
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?
52 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$49.74
$-0.26
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 27-August 2?
41 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$40.51
$0.51
- NO
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
48 shares @ 84.1¢·now 83.5¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$39.71
$-0.29
- YES
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
35 shares @ 85.5¢·now 89.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$31.25
$1.25
- NO
Israeli forces enter Beirut by August 31?
31 shares @ 96.7¢·now 98.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$30.54
$0.54
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?
34 shares @ 89.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$24.44
$-5.56
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?
11 shares @ 91.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$10.92
$0.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?$23.65Aug 2, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 27-August 2?$40.04Aug 1, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Beirut by August 31?$30.00Aug 1, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?$10.00Aug 1, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?$30.00Aug 1, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?$50.00Aug 1, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?$50.00Aug 1, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$44.44Aug 1, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?$34.07Aug 1, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?$84.90Aug 1, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$31.65Aug 1, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$21.28Aug 1, 06:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$0.46Jul 29, 01:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$7.97Jul 29, 01:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$11.95Jul 29, 01:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$3.98Jul 29, 01:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$2.21Jul 29, 01:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$0.00Jul 28, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$10.07Jul 25, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$6.00Jul 24, 12:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $17.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 09:11 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 15:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.