Bad-Welcome
0xf6116ca116f165e5d8b7186de20b5981f973d619
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$16.53
Total PnL
$-24.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.20
$3.20
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?
33 shares @ 9.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.67
$0.67
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.57
$-1.43
- YES
Will Bernie Sanders say "DHS" or "TSA" in Michigan?
3 shares @ 58.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp May 3, 2026$1.09
$-0.91
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
30 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.69
- YES
Will Chris Wright be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
22 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.91
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
22 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.52
- YES
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
10 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
10 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
10 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders say "DHS" or "TSA" in Michigan?$2.033h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?$3.113h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460?$5.103h ago
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$10.004h ago
- REDEEMU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?$24.454h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Chris Wright be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$1.0444d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Chris Wright be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$0.4344d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$0.1244d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$0.5344d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$0.3444d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$0.5244d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Chris Wright be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$0.4344d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$3.2049d ago
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?$4.2051d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$2.4951d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$4.4651d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$0.7053d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$1.8553d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$1.9953d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$3.0953d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $4.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 548d ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".