Kindly-Irrigation
0xf6130bfb00c70ad5cd1ed7892ad040c61129a512
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$19.62
Total PnL
$-32.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
20 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.1¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$19.62
$0.22
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 18?
24 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-23.28
- NO
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
10 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-9.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Carl Schmidt be eliminated from Love Island USA this week?$19.98Jul 5, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMTrump's face on US gold coin by July 4?$21.00Jul 5, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carl Schmidt be eliminated from Love Island USA this week?$19.64Jul 4, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump's face on US gold coin by July 4?$20.98Jul 2, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine coup attempt by June 30?$25.00Jul 1, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?$17.00Jul 1, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?$16.98Jun 25, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine coup attempt by June 30?$24.95Jun 25, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of June 15 2026?$30.00Jun 19, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of June 15 2026?$29.97Jun 15, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?$19.42Jun 15, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 10?$17.82Jun 10, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 10?$17.46Jun 9, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 61 million views on day 6?$18.90Jun 5, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 61 million views on day 6?$18.64Jun 5, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?$55.28Jun 1, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMIran leadership change by May 31?$15.00Jun 1, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$19.79May 31, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$19.62May 30, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$14.85May 29, 07:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $20.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 04:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 06:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.