Disastrous-Vanity
0xf63b4119ad71204b6e944171a22d3f9fbfbbe23d
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$196.25
Total PnL
$-413.20
Realised
$27.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2033 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$39.65
$3.05
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
423 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$30.20
$0.38
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1300 shares @ 1.2¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$26.65
$11.05
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
357 shares @ 4.2¢·now 6.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$22.86
$7.86
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
788 shares @ 3.9¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.03
$-10.61
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1507 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.84
$2.26
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
300 shares @ 3.8¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$14.85
$3.45
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
389 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.03
$-0.97
- YES
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
186 shares @ 16.2¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$4.71
$-25.29
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.75
$-1.25
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$5.19Jun 11, 13:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$5.20Jun 9, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$10.37Jun 9, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$15.57Jun 9, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?$10.35Jun 9, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?$10.35Jun 9, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$10.37Jun 9, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?$15.53Jun 9, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$113.51Jun 9, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?$31.01Jun 9, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$218.28Jun 9, 17:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $22.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 20:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.