International-Newsletter
0xf66bb1374fc6bcece37b9f562eb5f5bedc95b1d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$3.7K
Total PnL
$-6.6K
Realised
$8.39
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
5253 shares @ 33.2¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$971.77
$-773.96
- YES
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
3102 shares @ 65.8¢·now 26.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$806.47
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
5605 shares @ 47.5¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$532.48
$-2.1K
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
2000 shares @ 24.2¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$370.00
$-115.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
3153 shares @ 34.7¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$331.11
$-762.53
- YES
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
5129 shares @ 29.6¢·now 5.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$256.46
$-1.3K
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
800 shares @ 40.5¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$211.99
$-111.99
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
1011 shares @ 39.6¢·now 19.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$200.09
$-199.91
- NO
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
2781 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-46.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$65.85Jun 14, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$60.00Jun 14, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$14.15Jun 14, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$60.00Jun 14, 02:16 UTC
- REWARD$1.30Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$19.84Jun 13, 23:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5$4.38Jun 13, 23:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$13.20Jun 13, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5$26.87Jun 13, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$50.24Jun 13, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$20.32Jun 13, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Switzerland (-1.5)$29.37Jun 13, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Switzerland (-2.5)$24.44Jun 13, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$113.05Jun 13, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Switzerland (-1.5)$80.00Jun 13, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Switzerland (-2.5)$30.18Jun 13, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Switzerland (-2.5)$20.82Jun 13, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$100.51Jun 13, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$960.74Jun 12, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLMexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5$33.02Jun 11, 20:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $71.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 01:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 02:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.