Smug-Palace
0xf66c00ce6a43a45af3e8302f3cd6cf546439fe23
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$39.49
Total PnL
$0.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May?
11 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.60
$0.01
- NO
Will Alexander Albon win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?
8 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$8.25
$0.01
- YES
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?
7 shares @ 97.5¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$6.89
$-0.05
- NO
Will Franco Mastantuono be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
7 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$6.88
$0.06
- NO
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.87
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Albon win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$8.24Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Franco Mastantuono be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$6.82May 31, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May?$10.59May 31, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $100M one day after launch?$6.95May 31, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$6.86May 31, 11:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April?$10.33May 30, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$10.36May 30, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $320 end of April?$10.80May 30, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$10.91May 30, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$10.33Apr 20, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$10.90Apr 19, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April?$10.22Apr 19, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $320 end of April?$10.47Apr 19, 18:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$10.99Apr 15, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Pittsburgh Penguins win the Metropolitan Division?$20.92Apr 15, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Pittsburgh Penguins win the Metropolitan Division?$10.95Mar 31, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Pittsburgh Penguins win the Metropolitan Division?$9.92Mar 31, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$10.92Mar 30, 23:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$9.48Mar 17, 10:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill It Was Just an Accident win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$9.65Mar 17, 10:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $8.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 9, 12:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.