Slight-Calorie
0xf679a38dac6c5af55ec73aab399e84fbb0dbafc4
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$5.71
Total PnL
$-0.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "Gaza" or "Israel" 12+ times during Israel President events on December 29?
2 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.47
$0.47
- YES
Will Pete Carroll be fired by February 28?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
1 shares @ 93.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- YES
GPT ads by March 31?
1 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 56%?
15 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGPT ads by March 31?$1.00Jan 20, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?$1.00Jan 20, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$1.00Jan 15, 02:12 UTC
- TRADESELLDiscord IPO before 2027?$0.98Jan 15, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$1.00Jan 15, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYDiscord IPO before 2027?$1.00Jan 15, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$1.03Jan 14, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?$1.09Jan 14, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLDiscord IPO before 2027?$1.98Jan 14, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?$2.77Jan 14, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYDiscord IPO before 2027?$1.00Jan 14, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?$1.00Jan 14, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYDiscord IPO before 2027?$1.00Jan 13, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?$1.00Jan 13, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?$1.00Jan 13, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?$1.00Jan 7, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$1.00Jan 7, 03:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$1.00Jan 6, 05:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?$0.92Jan 6, 05:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$2.12Jan 6, 05:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 22, 02:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 20, 05:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.