Mindless-Welfare-Stucco
0xf693273043f63680e7de08a7e958ff8ef14dec6d
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$130.96
Total PnL
$-175.00
Realised
$0.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Catena launch a token by December 31, 2027?
50 shares @ 87.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$26.25
$-17.25
- YES
Will Caitlin Clark have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?
48 shares @ 62.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Sep 24, 2026$25.96
$-3.57
- YES
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?
50 shares @ 82.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$19.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will GTE launch a token by December 31, 2027?
50 shares @ 87.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$18.00
$-25.50
- YES
Will LI.FI launch a token by December 31, 2027?
50 shares @ 87.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$15.00
$-28.50
- YES
Valantis FDV above $200M one day after launch?
50 shares @ 38.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$10.25
$-8.75
- YES
Will Puffpaw launch a token by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 63.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$10.00
$-21.50
- YES
Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
50 shares @ 27.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2027$3.50
$-10.00
- NO
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?
50 shares @ 42.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2026$3.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will Syria sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLAligned FDV above $1B one day after launch?$48.60Aug 16, 09:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.90Aug 7, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLFnatic merger/acquisition announced by September 1, 2026?$21.60Jul 17, 14:12 UTC
- REWARD$1.57Jul 17, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$51.26Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.08Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLEvangeline Lilly as the Wasp?$12.48Jul 14, 11:16 UTC
- REWARD$2.45Jul 14, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.24Jul 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLFnatic merger/acquisition announced by September 1, 2026?$2.40Jul 12, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Caitlin Clark have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?$1.54Jun 30, 17:22 UTC
- REWARD$9.08Jun 27, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ozuna perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$0.10Jun 26, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LI.FI launch a token by December 31, 2027?$43.50Jun 26, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Catena launch a token by December 31, 2027?$43.50Jun 26, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GTE launch a token by December 31, 2027?$43.50Jun 26, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $21B by June 30?$0.13Jun 26, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Handball" during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match?$23.00Jun 26, 03:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Dominant" during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match?$25.00Jun 26, 03:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the MI-08 House seat?$42.24Jun 26, 03:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $24.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 03:38 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 09:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.