Grotesque-Chandelier
0xf69e13828583de0d8b9e300642536499c7b938c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$95.19
Total PnL
$-13.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
95 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$95.19
$0.19
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?
1200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,700 on January 20?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?
1021 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.06
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 7?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 10?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 17?
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on December 16?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 15?
300 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$95.00May 25, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$95.10May 25, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$95.00May 21, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?$2.57May 21, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 15?$97.29May 21, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 15?$97.02May 15, 09:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?$1.20May 15, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 10?$1.30May 15, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on May 10?$1.50May 15, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 10?$2.00May 15, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$91.09May 15, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$91.00May 10, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?$1.20May 10, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 10?$2.00May 10, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 10?$2.00May 10, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 10?$1.30May 10, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on May 10?$1.50May 10, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 6?$99.10May 10, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 6?$99.01May 6, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$99.10May 6, 07:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $71.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 07:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 12:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".