Plain-Pinafore
0xf6b0250aac100e8928b4bbc46d3ae15165230664
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-34.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
562 shares @ 89.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp May 15, 2026$546.72
$46.72
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
313 shares @ 95.8¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$298.96
$-1.04
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
313 shares @ 64.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$260.94
$60.94
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
211 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 15, 2026$210.00
$10.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
127 shares @ 78.6¢·now 95.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$121.25
$21.25
- NO
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
109 shares @ 92.1¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$100.93
$0.93
- NO
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
495 shares @ 53.6¢·now 19.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$96.37
$-169.29
- NO
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
108 shares @ 93.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$95.70
$-4.30
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
112 shares @ 17.9¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$20.28
$0.28
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
122 shares @ 16.4¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$20.06
$0.06
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.0016h ago
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?$100.191d ago
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?$200.441d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.501d ago
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.491d ago
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$200.001d ago
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 8?$129.874d ago
- TRADEBUYWill France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$100.007d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$100.007d ago
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$300.007d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$200.009d ago
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$100.009d ago
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$101.0712d ago
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.3K13d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$401.6015d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$803.2615d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$202.8815d ago
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$131.3815d ago
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$1.2K15d ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$120.0015d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $260.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 53d ago
- Last active
- 16h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
