Frugal-Establishment
0xf6c2fc9a4e53e78cc32f9e8bf8d0ad404869e324
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-368.36
Realised
$12.95
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
364 shares @ 40.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-147.06
- YES
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
262 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-86.39
- YES
Will Trump say "Too Big to Rig" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?
168 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-70.72
- NO
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during March press conference?
80 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.30
- NO
Will Powell say "War" during March press conference?
63 shares @ 50.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-31.78
- YES
Will Trump say "Excursion" during trophy presentation?
52 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-27.12
- YES
Will Trump say "Beautiful Woman" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?
15 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.35
- NO
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 7+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?
14 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.30
- YES
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during trophy presentation?
10 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
6 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.46
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 31?$5.36May 5, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$0.49May 5, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$14.11May 5, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$9.06May 5, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$32.74May 5, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win Eurovision 2026?$24.61May 5, 15:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Swing State" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?$1.38Apr 5, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Sleepy Joe" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?$5.00Apr 5, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31?$10.33Apr 5, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$29.55Apr 5, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Make a Deal" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?$75.00Apr 5, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?$150.00Apr 5, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$0.45Mar 25, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$0.45Mar 25, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$0.30Mar 25, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$0.30Mar 25, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$0.45Mar 25, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$0.45Mar 25, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$0.45Mar 25, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$0.17Mar 25, 23:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $5.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 21:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 15:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.