Jumbo-Level
0xf6df086fd5520e86df5408d5b9871895956865b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$70.87
Total PnL
$-293.69
Realised
$-17.92
Win rate
44%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
177 shares @ 18.7¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.40
$-20.69
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?
28 shares @ 16.4¢·now 44.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.21
$7.65
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
51 shares @ 38.4¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.96
$-11.76
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit Pennsylvania in 2026?
23 shares @ 31.8¢·now 29.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.59
$-0.61
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?
19 shares @ 32.1¢·now 30.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
40 shares @ 12.4¢·now 10.8¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$4.33
$-0.67
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit Nebraska in 2026?
7 shares @ 23.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.80
$2.12
- YES
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
22 shares @ 44.9¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.26
$-6.83
- YES
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
31 shares @ 31.1¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.23
$-6.34
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?
41 shares @ 28.8¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.70
$-9.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?$1.00Jun 12, 05:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit Nebraska in 2026?$0.07Jun 12, 05:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit Nebraska in 2026?$0.77Jun 12, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$1.05Jun 3, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$1.05Jun 3, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$1.05Jun 3, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$1.05Jun 3, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$1.05Jun 3, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$5.23Jun 3, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$2.09Jun 3, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$1.04Jun 2, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$1.04Jun 2, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$2.10Jun 2, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?$1.00Jun 2, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?$1.00Jun 2, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026?$1.00Jun 2, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in June?$3.00Jun 2, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026?$1.00Jun 2, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$10.38May 26, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$2.08May 26, 08:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 05:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 05:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.